Reds drop to 3-18, tying worst start in franchise history


April’s final game was a near-perfect representation of the Cincinnati Reds’ brutal first month of the season. Connor Overton was called up and gave the Reds an incredible performance in 5.1 innings. The Reds’ offense had hit the ball hard from Rockies starter Chad Kuhl, but when Overton left the game, the Reds only had a 2-0 lead.

Art Warren entered the game replacing Overton having allowed just 2 points in his last 23 appearances. Four points scored by Warren (3 officially at his expense), and Overton’s spectacular start was quickly swept away. Aramis Gracia homered in the 8th inning, but it wasn’t enough to prevent the Reds from losing again. The Reds end April with a 3-18 record. This ties the 2018 squad to the worst start in franchise history. The Reds are now just one loss away from the worst start in franchise history. The Reds have lost 9 in a row on the road.

The biggest game in the game

Source: FanGraphs

According to Fangraphs WPA statistics (percentage added win), the biggest play in the game was Art Warren allowing 2 runs to score on a Charlie Blackmon double with 1 out in the 8th inning (Jake Fraley’s throwing error allowed the 2nd run to score), tying the game at 2. This game decreased the probability of winning Reds by 26.0% (from 65.4% to 39.4%).

Good points

Connor Overton was nothing short of spectacular for the Reds on his debut. He unbalanced the Rockies’ batters all night, and had over 5.1 innings to go with a 2-0 lead and only one runner on first base. Overton only allowed a total of 4 hard-hit balls on the night at Coors Field, against the Rockies – who lead the NL in Team OPS. It seemed like it was just a start for Overton, but it’s hard to see after this performance how he doesn’t deserve at least another start with the struggles of Sanmartin and Gutierrez. Overton last line: 5.1 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 3 K.

Tyler Naquin hit the first pitch of the game at 375 feet for his second homer of the season. Naquin had been struggling since returning from illness, so it was nice to see.

Aramis Garcia hit his first home run as Red to make it 4-3 in the 8th. Garcia hit 5 homers in spring training.

Lucas Sims and Dauri Moreta combined for 2.1 perfect rounds of relief.


Art Warren just didn’t have it tonight. It was such a shame after Overton’s performance. Warren received a hard call from the 4 ball on a clear strike before allowing the double equalizer to Charlie Blackmon. Who knows if that might have changed anything.

Joey Votto was 0 for 4 with 3 strikeouts. Votto now hits .129/.291/.143 on the season.

Not so random thoughts…………

The hot topic of the evening will be David Belldecision to retire Overton after 75 pitches. It felt like one of those decisions you might be guessing anyway. Overton just improved to 92 pitches at AAA, but had only thrown 54, 48 and 80 in the previous three starts. Art Warren had allowed a grand total of 2 points in his last 23 appearances. Sure, 4 points scored with him on the mound with the way things are going for the Reds.


Reds at the Rockies
Sunday, 3:10 p.m.
Television: Bally Sports Ohio
Reiver Sanmartin (10.91 ERA/4.34 xFIP) vs. Kyle Freeland (6.16 ERA/3.76 xFIP)


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